Let’s Go the Other Way

Two bets tonight:

  • $165 to win $150 on the L.A. Clippers getting 9.5 in Boston Garden
  • $165 to win $150 on Detroit getting 11.5 in San Antonio

If neither pays off, I will have lost all but a few dollars of a mythical $1000 stake in a mere 13 egregiously bad bets.

Tonight, at least, I’m going the other way on my own initial approach. Boston and San Antonio are vastly better teams, and they’re at home. They’re also old, and since they won’t be threatened, I’m wagering they’ll coast in an effort to conserve energy.

If I’m wrong on both counts tonight, well, I’m either misreading patterns, or I’ve just got horrid timing. Here’s hoping I’m learning…

…in the past three weeks, San Antonio beat Miami by 30 after rolling up a shocking 36-12 first quarter on Lebron and Company, just a few days removed from dawdling their way past abysmal Cleveland and rebuilding New Jersey by only 10 apiece.

And the Celtics eviscerated the Golden State Warriors in Oakland, then barely held them off in the Boston Garden a few days later.

And Charlotte–a team in free fall–lost to Denver by 40, then covered a 12-point spread at the Staples Center against the Lakers, then flew to Portland to get bludgeoned by 24. Meanwhile, those same Lakers yawned through an 8-point win against Charlotte at home, then hit the road against a Spurs squad on a 22-game win streak in their own building, opened with a 34-13 run, and demolished San Antonio as a 3-point underdog.

So it looks to me like the top teams are so much better than the worst teams that they barely bother to show. And I’ve been waiting a few days for spreads this large to take advantage.

Let’s see if I do.

Never thought I’d say this, but go Pistons and Clips.

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