Go West, Young Man

Two bets tonight:

  • $110 to win $100 on Sacramento getting 11.5 in San Antonio
  • $110 to win $100 on Portland giving 4.5 in Charlotte

Glad I skipped the games I did last night–injuries to Billups and Channing Frye affected both outcomes. But then I missed both bits of news because I never really considered wagering on either contest–I didn’t like the spreads, and I didn’t have confident guesses as to what might happen. Denver might just be turning into something not seen in the NBA outside of San Antonio–a deep, complete, unselfish team. Frye or no Frye, that was an impressive road dismantling of a Suns squad that’s scrambling for wins every night. The Nuggets are 6-2 sans Carmelo Anthony, who’s discovering what Miami’s stars already know: fantasy basketball stats aren’t enough against the league’s top echelon. Dallas kicked its transition game into high gear to rout the Melobockers Thursday night, largely because New York no longer has any depth, nor any starters capable of playing both ends of the floor.

Tonight’s nervousness stems from Stephen Jackson’s return to physical health (if not sanity), and what appears to be the eternal war between Sacramento’s talent and psyche. But I’m betting that Charlotte is still a team that will play as if it were sandbagged by management (it was), Portland will expend a lot of energy to win on the road (as moderately good teams must), and Sacramento will cosmetically cover up the truth: that San Antonio plays the kind of heady, devastating team basketball the Kings never will.

Small bets, still underwater, still learning, and only a 25% chance of a meaningfully negative outcome for my stake tonight.

Go Kings. Go Blazers.

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