Maybe It’s Not Rocket Surgery

The Houston Rockets have won five in a row.

The Los Angeles Clippers have lost five in a row.

The Rockets have faced the Clippers twice thus far this season and won both games handily. One at home, one on the road.

Naturally, the Clippers are favored at home tonight against the Rockets by three points.

Wager Number Seven: I’m taking the money line tonight, putting $100 to win $135 on the Rockets to beat the Clippers in L.A.

Of course it looks like a trap.

Consider the swirl of conflicting storylines surrounding this game…

The Clippers are finally at home and intact for the first time since the All-Star break.

That’s nice, except Mo Williams has yet to play alongside Eric Gordon, who has yet to test his injured hand. Besides, Houston has gone 4-0 on the road during its recent streak, including wins against New Orleans and Portland.

The Clips will have the best player on the floor tonight in Blake Griffin, and the cliche seems to fit here–after five straight losses, the Blakers will be “hungry” for a win.

Yes, but Houston appears to be benefitting from addition by subtraction, shortening its rotation by shedding two players at the trade deadline; the ball is in Kevin Martin’s hands (as it should be) when it matters most, and Chase Budinger and Kyle Lowry are thriving with their expanded minutes.

The law of averages has to kick in sometime, doesn’t it? These streaks have gone on long enough for mediocrities, haven’t they?

Well, I’m wagering against overanalysis, opting for simplicity instead: Houston is better than Los Angeles. Better rotation, better coach, better everything except for Griffin.

I’m also betting the money line on Golden State to beat Washington tonight–$100 to win $105.

The oddsmakers are calling this a pick ’em.

I’m picking Golden State.

Because they’re better.